Название | : | Sanctions and Russia: Effects, Lessons, and the Future | A History Lab Discussion w/ Stephen Kotkin |
Продолжительность | : | 1.10.23 |
Дата публикации | : | |
Просмотров | : | 92 rb |
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Dr Kotkin is indeed an incredible mind in International Affairs, Russian and Asian studies He seems to also understand the economic and business issues Rare indeed He is likely the foremost expert on Stalin as you likely know from even attending this webcast Some of Dr Kotkin's unappreciated talents are a total lack of hubris A man of his stature could easily be pompous Dr Kotkin is not He delivers his presentations in an even manner, with complex issues delivered in simple terms and with a good deal of humour If you look carefully, you will no doubt observe a twinkle in his eye when he addresses certain topics I truly wish that I had had the opportunity to study under Dr Kotkin Instead, I will listen to his lectures and read his books whenever I can Thank you Comment from : @CFPPLANNER |
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Since the US was the marginal exporter of oil and gas in much of the last decade, greater restrictions and lack of expansion of fracking and pipelines since the election were probably a big part of the rise of oil prices prior to the war The embargo also hurt the West more than a country that chose not to comply with the embargo Comment from : @lazybear236 |
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Sanctions are useless because the country like Iran becoming worst in terrorism Iran kidnap more Americans to bargain and exchange 5 Billion Also Russia weaponized the food and oil Everybody sufferings the aggressions and terrorism Sanctions becoming more tough like Iran, Russia and North Korea Dissolved UN or changed charter to remove Russia as permanent member and must have global Police to enforce violators, terrorism and war aggressors Comment from : @cesaryap8755 |
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speaking of "sanctioning Russia" always reminds me "Continent isolated" meme Comment from : @megaotstoy |
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Its depressing Pity we can't get Stephen's hot take on Mickey Harte's traitorous move to Tyrone 🤣🇨🇮 Comment from : @patscott8612 |
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What is the effect of the economic friction of “work around” trade deals with third parties for any government but especially for Russia? Comment from : @carylhalfwassen8555 |
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There is no voice on YouTube that I’d rather listen to than Steven kotkin’s Comment from : @Imakulak |
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I love to listen to a Russian accent once in a while but while Guriev is very articulate, frankly Rasputin's doppelgänger here is hard to follow Did he ever have to teach college students I wonder? Comment from : @dormoisjean-pierre1436 |
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Russia ranked fourth in terms of real GDP growth in the world At the end of the second quarter, the annual figure increased by almost five percent The first three places are in India, China and Indonesia
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brThe USA is in ninth place Germany and France did not even make it into the top ten! Comment from : @luckyea7 |
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This is one of the best exposes of the Russian situation Thank you so much Comment from : @juliechristianson8009 |
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The blue collar specialist has bad audio equupment Comment from : @JYRIVIRMA |
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Lessons? that the West is stupid Comment from : @glenbolderson9279 |
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People seem to be too anxious about being able to predict exactly when the collapse will occur in Russia, but the process of capitulation is similar to when a damn gives way, and I don't think we're going to see a gradual process with clear indicators, and what will likely occur will rather be a sudden, catastrophic implosion with some unpredictable consequences - j q t - Comment from : @quill444 |
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Interesting POV Believe the reason the West went back to Russia after the cold war is Western democracies was hoping Russia would develop a Rule of Law with check and balance system of government That is from government POV It turned out Russians held a grudge all this time Worst yet, Russian is often rule by narcissists which give evolutionary advantage to flying monkeys which ensure more narcissists I say always give anyone country a chance but this time make sure they live up to their promise Putin wanted to join NATO at one point, any nation should have the opportunity to join NATO provided real reforms take place and sustained Comment from : @working_example |
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2:50 —> please provide actual data and stats to understand the magnitude please Comment from : @SebastianLomaglio |
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So much expert information So wonderful! And the best accents! Comment from : @jdghgh |
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Is this Kotkin's podcast? Comment from : @uku4171 |
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god bless you stephen kotkin Comment from : @mattboyle5572 |
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Joe Pesci is a great scholar and Russia expert! Comment from : @lucay2222 |
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I see Stephen kotkin i listen! Comment from : @MasayaShida |
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Kotkin is pee wee Herman in the flesh So nasal and arrogant Comment from : @dimsum947 |
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We should not be at war with Russia Nut job Russophobes running incompetent American policy Comment from : @NineInchTyrone |
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The sanctions guy is giving good info, but I can barely understand him Do they have a transcript? Comment from : @jackstratif6937 |
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I found this so funny, the salt is so real The sanctions haven't worked, and they don't like it The war is like COVID people like on this video can't sick to facts and just push agendasbrIt was admitted at the 57 min markbrIn the past I would have listened and assumed what they are saying as facts wow coming from the Hoover Institution, but COVID and the Ukraine war I show me that the public needs to listen to both sides Comment from : @Peter-ll7vq |
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BS podcast Comment from : @MrMSalexanderMK |
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👍🍺 Comment from : @halmoore8558 |
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I lost a lot of respect for Stephen Kotkin when he started promoting the idea that Ukraine should make territorial concessions to Russia to 'win the peace' Comment from : @ah5555 |
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58:44 look right through Comment from : @Youlovesky_Max |
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I read volume I and volume II of Stalin by Kotkin I've no interest in Volume III anymore Kotkin, as a historian, spent his entire life learning and teaching about Russia Now I see he does not understand a dime about Russia That's pity Comment from : @johnbidon9573 |
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Someone here is censoring the FACT I want to make, that Stephen Kotkin completely fell for the Trump Russian Collusion Hoax for literally years, and it has severely damaged a lot of his credibility as an analyst on contemporary Russian-related issues Sorry to hurt your feelings, but it's true! Search 2017-2019 Kotkin comments and see how he was duped for yourselves! Other than that, this is a fine discussion But the Kotkin sycophancy here has gotta stop! He's NOT infallible! lol Comment from : @junkscience6397 |
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People always talk what they want to hear Comment from : @serseniucst |
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Who knew Joe Pesci was so knowledgeable on Russia! Academy awards, Russian history, what can't he do! 😂 Comment from : @michaelnewman1813 |
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Three stooges… Comment from : @shahanshah2223 |
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I came to listen to Kotkin, not two long-winded academics with thick accents! Comment from : @telluwide5553 |
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The west has run out of Ukrainians, what’s plan B? Comment from : @thomasdonovan3580 |
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35 in a jump is crazy Comment from : @Ynotnow9900 |
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Is that the sound system or does kotkin just has a female voice? Comment from : @willliam1420 |
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One word - Kotkinization in Condoleezztitution Seems that Lab is the place of sinecurization That is already 3 words- too much Comment from : @vladimirdosen9767 |
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All countries fiddle economic data including the ones the speakers come from Comment from : @ahmedkiyimba5934 |
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35:24 can someone explain the issue on the blunder of trading bilateral currency please? brWhy is the trade balance condition important? Thank you Comment from : @ferdinandimposter691 |
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I adore listening to Sergi Guriev - I have heard his analyses on several other online venues Besides being smart, I find him very charming! I had not seen Michael S Bernsam before but really appreciated his detailed discussion of the Russian economic situation As for you, Stephen, I have sat through many of your online lectures and this was just another great performance Thank you all for helping us understand this very complex situation!! Comment from : @russell3060 |
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Bernsthom russian exile and former advisor of the Yeltsin government on economics, the same Yeltsin government that raped the Russian economy greatly aided by western advisorsbrGuriev, head of the Russian anti war coalition whose stated charter aim is to fight against the authoritarian rule of PutinbrbrSorry it was an interesting watch, but Kotkins assertion at the start that this is an attempt to just have a factual look at the topic without any sides or agendas or what they'd like to happen is absolutely laughablebrbrKotkin has a great mind, but the host of a self stated neutral study of this topic he is not Comment from : @stephendyer5879 |
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A very interesting discussion, gentlemen! 😃 Comment from : @niravelniflheim1858 |
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Excellent discussion Enlightening and clarifying Illuminated some important new aspects of the shell game of wartime Russian economy Thanks for the depth and insight of the questions, and also for the smart answers I feel happily edified! 😊 Comment from : @mnoot7209 |
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This is excellent I recommend it Why wasn't transcript turned on? The ccs were helpful but transcript helps me find the sentence I need repeated because of the dense content and Bernstam's accent Comment from : @jeanneknight4791 |
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I see Kotkin, I like Comment from : @arktseytlin |
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In the west world governments and private entities are the same, currently the coorporations are the owners and masters of the western governments supposedly democrats but really imposed by a capitalist plutocracy The sanctions have the only goal to destroy the Russian Federation because interpones between them and their capitalist interests Comment from : @eduardopacheco9715 |
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It has been suggested that some of the oil wells need to keep producing to avoid damage Could this be involved? Comment from : @donhansen1175 |
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Russia 🇷🇺 is doing great They are on a mission for God, because of the N@zi ideology our Lord and Savior Jesus Christ wants 🛑 STOPPED ✝️✡️🕎☦️❤️ Comment from : @joecartwright9221 |
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Do you follow Hoover? Good for you Comment from : @evasvitek15 |
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This has been great bonus for india & others while the west dont want to develop their energy & manufacturing Comment from : @paulbadics3500 |
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"Why would anyone be so stupid to forgo revenue?" i guess he doesnt know trudeau in Canada has purposely stifled oil & gas export pipelines losing tens of billions of $ & hurting the canadian people Comment from : @paulbadics3500 |
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Russia is supplying the rest of the world with oil, gas, agriculture, minerals, fertilizer while the west is doing everything possible destroy their energy & manufacturing & mining economies Comment from : @paulbadics3500 |
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Sanctions or not Russia is able to out produce US & UK Europe in artillery which is what counts Comment from : @paulbadics3500 |
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You would think this was a discussion from spring of 22we know now most of these sanctions have back fired Comment from : @paulbadics3500 |
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Sanctions have been far worse for EU UK especially & even USlook at mass inflation, energy shortages etc Comment from : @paulbadics3500 |
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They were all 100 wrong about sanctions like they were about covidrussia has expanded its trade & export import opportunities, building bric alliance, growing its manufacturing Comment from : @paulbadics3500 |
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Finally a realistic overview of the sanctions and how they are impacting the Russian economy instead of the amateur journalists predicting the collapse of the Russian economy every two days Comment from : @stefansekulic7903 |
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A very illuminating discussion; thank you to the host and guests And, your new eyeglasses are very stylish, Professor Kotkin :) Comment from : @alancats |
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a this guys on drugs??? Comment from : @arnoldtoralba1817 |
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One of the best interviews ever about the effects of sanctions on russian economy 👏👏👏👏👏👏 Comment from : @bostjankavcic7793 |
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‘How situation is not how we want it to be’? So, US couldn’t calculate the consequences of their actions? what’s new Comment from : @Soboris |
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Tea is better for the Russian exceptional brain than Vodka!brIt is moreover the best developmental aid, as the Russian expensive refinieries rot and those in India and Bangladesh bloombrNo wonder that India managed it to the dark side of the moon and Russia did not Drink tea! Comment from : @mushtaqbhat1895 |
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Colonel Sanders knows best Comment from : @edgarivanarmentamtz5793 |
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⭐ Comment from : @robertprawendowski2850 |
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I can't understand the colonel Comment from : @classactionsteve |
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I would have received more value from this conversation if there had been a third more "Russian positive" economist to counter the view points brAlso, what about the Russian sanctions unintended effects on Western Europe, which by all reports is that they're in recession And, without Russian gas Germany might permanently lose is industrial base What's Europe's cost for Russian sanctions? Comment from : @michaelb6529 |
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There is explicit sanctions and implicit sanctions , Comment from : @sparkyfromel |
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These guys could not get a job at McDonald's Comment from : @gavinstutler3229 |
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Useless Comment from : @asayeworku363 |
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The policy should be: 1) take one proven case of importing something big or important (eg airplane parts) 2) announce sanctions against (a) country which let it happen, or (b) bank which performed the payments, or (c) the company that arranged it allbrPutting up sanctions against entire countries may be too severe, and governments there may be unable to control actions of unscrupulous importers Case (c) is also not effective, as such transactions are likely done via ghost companies just created for this purpose a week prior and disbanded after But case (b) — punishing unscrupulous banks — is very doable and effective Setting up “ ghost banks” is not easy, so real, established banks are used Banks know what such transactions are for ( totals are in millions of dollars ), and the mechanism is simple and reliable — cut them off from SWIFT, or impose penalties on their transactions brAnd yes — Swiss banks — get ready Aiding Russia has to stop! Comment from : @nickmon6497 |
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Is it just me or does Stephen Kotkin sound incredibly like Joe Pesci? Comment from : @whyem516H |
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) Comment from : @jbqu3142 |
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We don't know when this discussion was filmed, but it's too bad it was done just before Prigozhin was blown out of the sky I'm looking forward to hearing what Stephen has to say about this Comment from : @sbaumgartner9848 |
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Amazing discussing, among which was the insight that Russia massively cut off its nose to spite its face when it insisted on the payment of its oil exports in rupees and renminbi, rather than dollars (Note: I'm pretty sure Russia originally insisted on payment from India and China in rubles, but settled on payment in the currencies of each of those respective countries) Comment from : @guydreamr |
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If you had bigger cohones you should begin every interview with a Russian with the question “ should Crimea revert to being Ukrainian territory?” Their answer will tell us a lot about how to interpret what they say Comment from : @andyjay5903 |
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It is a mistake to use classical US economic theory as the measure This is War against the global structure that was established post WW2 Putin does not give a damn about economic theory He sees the world being run by Czars with absolute power, and he trying to induce a global collapse of the post WW2 order on a scale greater than 1929 He also sees the Russian federation surviving such a collapse due to its built in strengths of natural resources, and captive population that is used to hardshipbrbrHaving China and India purchasing Russian oil is actually a good thing It removes market pressure from the Middle east suppliers And that is stabilising the global order Comment from : @user-sq5bw2fc4n |
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Thanks for this interesting and competent talk Comment from : @anjafark |
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Should should hollow out the Russian army and industry by opening the border to young men and women of college age Comment from : @user-sq5bw2fc4n |
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Idiots, don't listen to those who are paid to lie Comment from : @voldemarsorochinskiy77 |
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I'm amused by the political analysis of these two Russians They either lost the 'russinness' of their souls or simply are not honest with the audience Anyone who repeats the mantra of 'lack of ammunition' or 'no support for Putin in Russia' is either lying to themselves or to others Comment from : @potapotapova9375 |
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🧐 The infrastructure project "The bee honeycomb model of the conglomerates" will keep your money 🐝💰 The Project is more Reliable than Gold 🪙 Comment from : @archimedesxxicentury |
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Sanctions shoud be used to cut our relatiions with Russia esp culture and sports Comment from : @natbirchall1580 |
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Simply put: an excellent discussion Covers most of the important economic topics that are rarely, if ever, addressed in the media If you have a question about Russian economic policy there is a good chance you will find your answer in this video Comment from : @lawjef |
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A superb discussions regarding the Russian economy since their invasion of Ukraine Each person has exceptional economic knowledge and insight Absolutely riveting Everyone should listen Thanks to the esteemed guests and to Stephen Kotkin for putting this together Comment from : @chozumi |
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Michael Guriev it's good expert We can trust him Comment from : @ctenvao |
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Biden forgot to say "birthgiving person of all sanctions" so sanctions got offended and they refuse to work 😂 Comment from : @edibbesirevic6356 |
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When u can't see ur enemy winning Pray a blindside doesn't catch ur backside Comment from : @steveagola9317 |
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Thank you gentlemen, hope some Russian people listened and spread the knowledge It’ll only help to diminish the damage their president is imposing on their state Comment from : @silviadunderdale9400 |
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