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The behavioral economics of Bitcoin 2021, is it another bubble?




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Название :  The behavioral economics of Bitcoin 2021, is it another bubble?
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Money & Macro
Quick update... this video was made around the start of the year. Now, things are getting more and more bubbly in my opinion. What do you think?
Comment from : Money & Macro


Krishnan Unni Madathil
Is it not true that every bubble is a post-facto admission?

That is, unless it bursts, no one can ever conclusively prove a bubble. That is to say, we will never know when we are in a bubble. There are some behaviors associated with bubbles - but is there anything to suggest that irrational exuberance cannot exist in a non-bubble environment?

After all, optimism can be an accommodation to a fatality or pervasive stagnation. And optimism can be irrational as well. So, who knows? There is an assumption of moral inferiority associated with irrational exuberance - not one will admit being irrationally exuberant; only because optimism is a vital drug. Even pessimism can be irrational.

So, one must be very precise in what they are really asking when they ask “Are we in a bubble?”. Yes, we all are. Is that a bad thing? Not really, if we are resigned to an eventual burst. If the question really is “are we being sold a lemon?”, then it really depends from purchase to purchase.

Comment from : Krishnan Unni Madathil


Danielle
Oh man, too bad I'm seeing this 6 months late. I would have told you the same thing then as now: Early on you might see it like it was when you made this video, both positive and negative, roughly 3/4ths through the bubble usually the 6 or 9 o'clock news starts talking about it, and then roughly at the top you'll see people buying into it who normally shouldn't be. At the top of the bitcoin bubble I saw people posting about selling their 401k to buy bitcoin, mothers with kids investing for the first time into bitcoin, and when I wrote about how it's at the top of a bubble because of this universally I got negative responses. This is when you get out. Even if it continues to go up for another 3 years it isn't worth the risk to reward at that point. Buy something else worthwhile instead of getting fomo.

@money & marco If you had noticed this back and forth with some people doubting it, then that was a buy sign to get in.

Comment from : Danielle


Amin Omidi
Everyone in Iran buying dogecoin ! It’s ridiculous
How people of the world is paying 50000$ for a bitcoin. I mean what is it anyway?
I don’t think central banks would lose control in this battle.

Comment from : Amin Omidi


Amin Omidi
Our housing market in Iran looks like a huge bubble that will not ever burst.
Comment from : Amin Omidi


Amin Omidi
Would you make a video about Iran economy ?
Our country is interesting !!

Comment from : Amin Omidi


lPlanetarizado
yes a bubble, but its going to be really interesting what will happen when the amount of bitcoin reach its limit, will it fall? keep rising? what will happen with other cryptocurrencies?

well i think buying crypto is fine, as long as you dont invest your whole savings lol

Comment from : lPlanetarizado


Pall Mall
Doge hitting 70 cents is a bubble. Bitcoin slowly creeping up towards 100k is rational growth.
Comment from : Pall Mall


Seth Rono
Hey. I have an expose for you that no one is talking about. Did you know that the anonymous Satoshi Nakamura is now by far the richest person on earth with a net worth exceeding HALF A TRILLION DOLLARS!!! Do the math yourself! How comes no one is talking about this!!!!
Comment from : Seth Rono


Caleb Newman
Awesome video, I'm currently studying Industrial Economics and I hope to study behavioural economics later on, I read "Nudge" and found it fascinating!
Comment from : Caleb Newman


Robert Le
Thanks. Please talk about Tether and how it plays out in macro view of crypto.
Comment from : Robert Le


MUSK pool
phd economists serves nothing but talking heads at CNBC, degrees does not impress me.
Comment from : MUSK pool


Robert Weaver
I'm investing in Bitcoin because it the first monetary battery in human history that doesn't bleed energy.
Comment from : Robert Weaver


Ishan Pandey
Wow. How the hell do these scammers find their way even into the comment section of videos like this :/. They have been so crazy these days
Comment from : Ishan Pandey


darwain7
A bubble is a bubble and will always be
Comment from : darwain7


xaruan
Not a trader by any means, but I think it is just another bubble.
People compare it to gold as a store of value, but I think that is flawed. You can actually do stuff with gold. Industry, science, jewelry. And currency. Gold is physical, not code. What does bitcoin do? Nothing else but currency.

How well does bitcoin serve as currency? Not very well. How many places accept it? Do they pay employees in bitcoin? No. How many people actually want to be paid in bitcoin?

The cost of something in bitcoin is always referenced back to the normal currency plus an additional amount to cover exchange fees and volatility. Things cost more in bitcoin.

Going back to the question of what does bitcoin actually do. It’s not a stock, it’s not a piece of a company. Bitcoin doesn’t produce anything. Even if there is inflation, the value of a company rises along with inflation because the assets and services are still there. How many are putting their useful money in bitcoin to spend bitcoin and how many are just buying bitcoin in the hopes that someone else will come along and pay more. How many plan to pay their taxes with bitcoin?

It just seems to me that the price of bitcoin is a combination of pump&dumps, FOMO, and a positive feedback loop. People say it’s going up. People buy it. It goes up. People buy because they think it’s worthwhile because it’s going up.

Comment from : xaruan


tetrusadima
Bitcoin turning into an asset, how can it replace money?
Comment from : tetrusadima


Todd Bowlin
You might get more subscribers if you turn on the option for closed caption when you make your videos.
Comment from : Todd Bowlin


Karlee Bennett
Bitcoin is currently aiming higher for a more solidified price as expected by many before the year runs out, with bulls now aiming at sending the cryptocurrency up towards $18,000 following the recent break below this level. That's why people who are new in the market always panic daily over the charts, it's a never-ending road if we are being honest. Well as for me, it's always been no pressure ever since I ventured into the crypto community, purchased over 5 Btc in 2017 which I saved until 2020 before switching to Tradlng the currency. I will always advlse anyone who just started dealing with bitcoin or old holders, Trad e people! It's truly easy, only requires your time. I registered with a mentoring firm on Te.leqram mssngr who helped me grow my crypto portfoIio all the way to 17 Btc in a year. @Mattboltonfx on Te.leqram made my year.
Comment from : Karlee Bennett



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