Bitcoin: The path to $1M using logarithmic regression

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Информация о Bitcoin: The path to $1M using logarithmic regression

Название	:	Bitcoin: The path to $1M using logarithmic regression
Продолжительность	:	17.00
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Просмотров	:	11 rb

Great video with an interesting perspective Thanks for sharing
Comment from : bosephusjr

Interesting to be watching this in 2022
Comment from : S Giles

Hello Ben !
Comment from : Nikola

Came back to watch some old videos to see how we felt in the bear market Ben do you still think we'll see the cycle go into 2023?brSeems highly unlikely unless we get a triple peak
Comment from : Gubzs

Go back to view your old video
Comment from : 數學蛋

The thing that's different is that we now have major adoptions with Paypal and many other companies like Microstrategy This could invalidate this curve and make it go a lot higher, a lot faster Butwho knows
Comment from : Amitabha Metta LOVE

update this video please
Comment from : Blake Thompson

On which tool you draw those graphs ?
Comment from : Atizaz Hassan Khan

Hi, Benjamin , love your content I have a pretty noob question, about outliers That little dip, in the lower end of the curve, was the panic sell of March , 12th, 2020 Irrational, and meaningless, on the big scale, but it has in effect reset the cycle What are the chances, in your view, of a similar move , in the opposite direction, in 2021 ? Right now, folks are on the Pandemia zeitgeist, BUT, in 2021, when the tab comes in, could that trigger a rush to safety, in Gold , and Bitcoin, as irrational, and outlier as the March dip was ? Granted, in this cenario, the correction would be brutal, but could the spike in 2021 ignore , for a time, logarithmic regression ?
Comment from : sónia Silva

👍👏
Comment from : Hola Blockchain

I m happy to align with your rational future value view although I can also imagine the present covid and future beliefs and awareness that is growing rapidly that even gold bugs may start to Capitulate and consequently bitcoin could have some ridiculous inflows and profit taking which could be seen as completely irrational but fuelled by unusual global events ✌️
Comment from : SERJMUSIC 2140

Please do an analysis on XRP Great Job!! 👍🏼
Comment from : Sevendown

Thanks for a down to earth analysis Subscribed
Comment from : wezzla

It makes sense to me, but I am really confident that inflation rate of the USD caused by covid-19 will move a lot more money into bitcoin In this sense we will actually have a higher peak Now, I'm not sure why this would be 'dumb money' because money is money but maybe I am dumb
Comment from : Lio Mendonça

We will see 1000-1500$ btc in 2022-2023 very easybrHow?brTake a bitcoin weekly chart, draw a downward trendline from 20k and 105kbrTake a support line at 3k zonebrOk, now you have a HUGE descending triangle with a target at 1000-1500$ (previous peak that we should see as support in the future)brThat descending triangle would bee finished like I said around 2022-2023brSo forget about the moon for now and save money to invest hard in those years when break that huge descending triangle downbrThis analysis only would be invalidated if we have a weekly candle close above 105k or under 3k before that yearsbrHope you take a look guys and share your thoughts with me Thats facts, Im the first who want to be millionaire in few months, but just look at the chart that I tell
Comment from : Cripto En 1 Minuto

There's one KEY variable you are missing Adoption That's why "Stock to Flow" is the perfect measure for Bitcoin Adoption can and indeed will accelerate the price in Bitcoin, EVERY halving or cycle, what ever you want to call it
Comment from : Dex

Thats just fucking stupid, BTC is only worth what people think its worth, its not a fucking math problem
Comment from : Hansli Peterli

Make more ETH videos please, bitcoin is the grandfather already while ETH is the young child playing with the smartphone that grandfather can not even handle :D
Comment from : Crypto Giiirl

you mean the path to $0 ?
Comment from : fuzzywah

benjamin knows little bit mathematics which has connection with bitcoinso it makes sense 👍it might take longer but in this manipulative world id not be surprised if bitcoin goes to 100s of thousands dollars in 5 years by the way is it better for bitcoin if world goes to depression any brilliant comment i appreciate : )
Comment from : Kal Te

I think the peak cycles cannot be predicted based on historical values Exigent situations such as inflation, stock and bond markets, regulatory controls and the wisdom and maturity of the average crypto investor will have a striking influence Nevertheless, the lowering of the peak to baseline and reduced volatility is sound and encouraging Investor psychology fear/greed is inherent in everything
Comment from : Gary Lang

I don’t understand why Bob Lukas don’t see your view point like this makes so much sense It sucks that we will have to wait a little longer but damn your good Who would dare challenge this analysis Amazing!
Comment from : Coolguy Crypto

Thanks again for your time Benjamin Refreshing to have some realism in this space Easy to watch and listen as always Definitely some room to move but on the whole I'm with you on the scale Wether it drops to 38 or not collect people This is the accumulation phase Long term has won everytime 140k 2023 Nate NZ
Comment from : Nathan Jackson

Hey Ben, I'm slightly confused as to why you would favor excluding the peak data I agree that it irrationally skews the data to the upside but doesn't that also apply to the downside? There can be irrational buyers and irrational sellers that push the price too far in either direction Just a thought though, no criticism intended Keep up the amazing work!
Comment from : Chad Martin

I think riding between the 250 and 300 wma moving forward is very possible, this would be the time to accumulate for sure
Comment from : Frank Loudis

2022-23 : $100K brI would happily take it :)
Comment from : Arslan Cheema

Hi! thx for the video, actualy im bearish in higher TF's i think we will go out of this regression channel Im waiting for 2K and bellow
Comment from : yassine IBNOU ZAHIR

My first video everyday is yours
Comment from : Arslan Cheema

Thank you Benjamin this is Fascinating!
Comment from : billy t

That Made a lot of sense!, great video! According to you I’ve put in smart money so thx for the compliment;) But to be honest, i dived Deep info Crypto just a week ago My question, you don’t see Crypto take over economy anytime before 2040? If not, your predictions won’t Disappoint:)
Comment from : Marco de Groot

Absolutely agree with every single word you said, the whole world is out of work, who has got money to buy crypto ??? For now bad times ahead, i see most of us selling crypto to live
Comment from : A Z

One of the best crypto explanations out there and my favourite
Comment from : A Z

Yo my boi's wicked smot
Comment from : waron buffets

What do you think about link ?
Comment from : Dkp oki Ralala

Amazing video as always Ben! But pls fix your audio, is that your PC? Its extremly loud in the background
Comment from : Philipp

I think a lot of people forget the opposite side in this graph, the USD Which can easily have a big change in value in the near future
Comment from : 4mb127

Thank you for being the adult in the room Benjamin! Really appreciate your videos
Comment from : Ron

If $1million can be reached by votes, you got mine Thank you for the analysis!
Comment from : H T

I'd like to see this type of video for ETH "Ethereum: The path to $100,000 using logarithmic regression" The same for Link would be really interesting, too
Comment from : baby kraken

Hi ! talking about variables, rumors are that some centrale banks and gov are asking/thinking about banning stable coins For me this is the biggest problem As for the market and the recession/depression, bitcoin like any other asset has only to prove itself, and till now is doing great
Comment from : Qwerty Qwerty

2040 / 1 Million is nothing /
Comment from : Luca Army

I wonder if your regression line theory also apply's to the stock market's S&P? There's a lot of data in the stock market The premise would be that the Stock Market is rational thereby the Crypto Space is rational In 2017 the price of crypto wasn't rational though or maybe the "2017 rational" is the new rational we should expect in future bull runs
Comment from : baby kraken

BACK INTO THE CRYPTOVERSELOL, put a little zing on it this time
Comment from : John Brehm

yes !
Comment from : satoshi

Im still waiting for the "evidences" of the lengthning cycle, appart from the simple fact that "the waiting time was 15 times longer for the second cycle", or "ETH is doing fractal" At the moment, I still find the stock to flow model more robust and predictive It would be nice if you do some video discussing the possible models rather than just repeating the same things over and over
Comment from : CrazyBoy

By the next decade Bitcoin will probably be value in yuans
Comment from : CMDR Mawortz

Benjamin Cowen I dreamed the price action from your drawings many times I feel it's coming :) Really like your channel
Comment from : MetricMania

Thank you
Comment from : Pulsechain Paddy

Makes perfect sense assuming the US$ stays stable For me, BTC is a hedge against a dollar which isn't worth the paper it's printed on
Comment from : Uncle Eddie

stop, we already broke the most under log curve so there is no reason to create another one
Comment from : Simba Pols

⏰ Time Stamps ⏰br00:32 Purpose of this video br01:49 Relationship between BTC Peaks and log regression lines br02:19 Observation on the BTC Price valleys br03:08 Bitcoin log regression graph if BTC minimum price taken into account br04:04 Primary logarithmic regression band br06:55 BTC price prediction br10:10 Primary logarithmic regression band extended to 2040 br11:05 Log regression band subject to change as price changes br12:06 BTC price prediction br12:54 Decreasing volatility in Bitcoin over time br14:31 Keep an open mind to different theories br15:08 This model has not taken various immeasurable factors into account
Comment from : Interactive Ledger

Could you do one on ethereum too or are we too young in data on that one ? Thx
Comment from : jason polb

Super bearish your vision about BTC FED printing like crazy and all other central banks and you only consider logarithmic regression? Only when the cycle get above 4 years you can consider that until that is all lines and more lines
Comment from : Pedro Teixeira

this is hands down the BEST VIDEO ON BITCOIN on the whole internet!!!!
Comment from : JP jay

I really appreciate the content on this channel!👏👌🙌
Comment from : matcabliii

Thank you so much for your scientific aprroach We needed this
Comment from : Mohsen

Thanks sr Enjoy the ride and be safe
Comment from : Caio Vicentino

We all know that crypto and stocks trade in tandem We also know that stocks are going to crash a lot harder, therefore cryptos will also take a massive shit
Comment from : Mike Wayne

Apologies for the poor audio quality I guess my external mic was turned off
Comment from : Benjamin Cowen

To be fruitfully honest, this chart looks textbook bearish The shape of this Log curve indicates a continued multi year bear market
Comment from : Handy Rams

March 13th was a Friday
Comment from : Braden Jolley

Turn off the vacuum FFS
Comment from : Ciarán Flood

Basically you are saying you have no clue, wow
Comment from : Janis Müller

It sounds like an F-22 Raptor has their engine running on your driveway
Comment from : Ryan Gray

Sounds like you are in a Bitcoin mining facility
Comment from : Nunya Bizniz

HODL strong 💪 🚀🚀🚀📈😎💰💰💰 Very good explanation! I guess I have to wait for another few years and stuck up a few Satoshis on the way there😉
Comment from : Max Kallio