| Название | : | IMF, World Bank lower India growth estimates, bright spots u0026 paradox of falling private investment |
| Продолжительность | : | 22.52 |
| Дата публикации | : | |
| Просмотров | : | 105 rb |
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Exclusive content, special privileges & more – Subscribe to ThePrint for Member benefits: theprintin/subscribe/ Comment from : @ThePrintIndia |
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What do you expect? RBI saying Indian economy growth is decline? Indian pride Stop be stupid Please Comment from : @Kaijuus |
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I don't believe in the reports / data of the IMF and World Bank Actually the world bank is not a world bank because only 7 countries of the world, mostly western countries, own it The IMF and The World Bank do not take developing countries at heart because they grant them loans at exorbitantly high interest rates, and they downgrade the growth potential of developing countries that do well and are a threat to the the USA and it's western allies Emerging economies like India, Venezuela, South Africa, Nigeria should not be getting loans from the IMF and World Bank because they have the natural and mineral resources to sell to raise sufficient revenue with which to finance their development projects and support effective welfare system to support the needy Comment from : @Didmasela |
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Amusing justifications from Bhakts Falling growth rate of economy created NPAs which led to defaults & bank failures There were many reasons for economy going down, demonetization was the biggest One Amikesh Mishra says FDI is growing exponentially Compare FDI as a of GDP in 2008 & 2021 Comment from : @RRDARGAD |
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59growth in 65 inflation ,so exactly what is the growth rate 😢 Comment from : @babublue69 |
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Superb!! Educative and fully with fairly accurate numbers Deficit financing policy seems to be good for Modi Because of good economic advisors, who know But the last graph was so fascinating And the rise of private investment must happen How? brAlso, India really needs an upshot on good liberalism and reforms, less unrest brUS and UK are horror stories Which maybe is the reason for all to trust the Right Indian liberals must stay put on reasonable right of center and stop these polarising forces But these are lessons, developing countries do not learnwe need to watch Comment from : @NarendraKumar-hq5bv |
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Shekhar ji, try and compare trends in private investment with that in ‘long term PSU bank credit’ - therein lies a secret Of course this lead to the NPA crisis and drop in private investments brOur private investment also happens out of public money 😊 Comment from : @rajanghotgalkar1532 |
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brics, India is involved with these thugs Comment from : @rafaelvargas4942 |
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USA fed like inflation to be 2 2 is actually good Comment from : @LSmoney215 |
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We are again caught in Hindu Growth Rate Shortage of FDIs is a direct impact Comment from : @ArjomaMoulick |
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SG : humble suggestion - please compare the numbers on economic and human development of India with Bangladesh and Vietnam! Both of them were behind India and both of them have gone ahead in majority of the macro measures It makes no sense to compare India with the developed world or for that matter Brazil, Russia and China Comment from : @Subhashish69 |
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MRGUNDUMANI(baldy) you are waiting for negative news about India did you at any time made a video whenever IMF praised India Comment from : @narayanswamy536 |
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Good news for India but bad news for the opposition 😊 Comment from : @orunabho |
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Mr Gupta from last more than 25 years you have been associated with NDTV and Pranob Roy He was your dear friend Now present Government took over his Channel from back door but unfortunately I never seen heard your comments about NDTV take over Why are you join Godi Media spreading wrong msgs to citizensi used to have great respect for you but now I take you are supporter of Regime What about our country present loan, job loss, Adani saga How can you keep quiet of double standard of Government Shame on you Comment from : @ianpadiyar7314 |
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For india to catch up China, India needs to grow its GDP at 10-12 per year over next 20 years 6-65 growth is disappointing Comment from : @dilipkv |
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Private investments should get pace once ROW starts getting better, having said that remember India still has lot of reforms especially labor and farm reforms pending Comment from : @chanakyabharat756 |
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Private investment I would like to see raw number rather than percentage Comment from : @subrahmanyanvravishankar2152 |
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The reason it can't grow above 6 percent is simple, it is the same reason China growth is stalling brThe reason it grew was because it was so backward there was some room to growbrNo country is growing because the global consumer base is not growing, there is no one to sell products too Automation is further decreasing consumer base in addition to the population growth decline Two problems no one can do anything about The only industry that functions now is entertainment (online), that's it is only the inertia of the forward momentum of the previous generation that is pushing it Once it stops, everything will be in reverse gear Comment from : @JomineJose |
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If my neighbour is going hungry, my stomach does not get filled with food Comment from : @pardeeptandon |
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Raghunath Rajan has claimed that in the last 4 years, India's growth rate has decreased to the Infamous Hindu Growth rate Has BJP economically made a Hindu Rashtra? Comment from : @pardeeptandon |
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Interesting SG sir Nice graphic the last one Comment from : @tonyraheja1 |
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Whatever the drawing / board room analysts say I can tell that inflation has been much higher than the reported and growth is lower Paper figures are because of pressure reporting Red tape has become redder Just remove licensing, we are capable Comment from : @raghuarmani8341 |
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Unless we do something about the beurocratic hurdles and red tapism Our growth will never take off like vietnam Comment from : @maverick8396 |
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5 Growth Rate of GDP Every Year & 6 Inflation Is The Best Ratio Comment from : @lotuslotus8207 |
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The RBI governor from US blabbering abt print & throw money from helicopter or something like that & many in India who are of center-left to left were supporting him along with the Congress ecosystembrI'm in US & this inflation is screwing normal working middle class over & I'm happy that Indian FM didn't listen to idiots like that Raghuram Rajan Comment from : @Kudupa |
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That is due to tightening screws of Chinese investments Anyway china investment is not a quality investment Comment from : @JayamuruganDhanasekaran |
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1 percent is 100 basis points and not 10 basis points Comment from : @ajaidoc |
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Inflation figures are not reliable, none of their figures are Comment from : @shejwalkarhemant3110 |
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This is not the time to say "this is enough" India has to ask for more and more and more We've to consistently touch 8 to 10 GDP for at least another 10 years in order to close the gap with China and the US and to improve the quality of our people's lives The only way this can be achieved is when India exports high-quality, high-cost products, like luxury cars, electronic goods manufactured in India by Indian brands One of the bright examples is the brand boAt We've to create more such brands, in fashion, in lifestyle, in electronics, in heavy metals etc Comment from : @reach2prasanna |
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India inflation nos are fake Comment from : @bally1asdf |
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In light of the impending recession and the fact that inflation is still far higher than the Fed's 2 target, several of the most prominent market analysts have been expressing their views on how terrible they believe the next downturn will be and how far stocks may have to fall I need advice on what investments to make because I'm attempting to create a portfolio for my children that will at least be $850k in value Comment from : @trazzpalmer3199 |
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just see the tax on trading in indian stock market its the highest in whole world FIIs are selling for 2years Comment from : @digvijaysingh026 |
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Mistake to keep in mind: Two thousand and twenty twentyone Comment from : @akihl04 |
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It is well known fact that both IMF and OECD is more conservative than WORLD BANK , ADB Comment from : @Maratha1990 |
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Shekhar Sir, it is only YOU who declutters the Political & Economic mess that surrounds us in the most amazing way It is on this platform, that I have found an answer to this unforeseen & tolerance breaching inflationary pressures around the world Comment from : @karneshmehta7186 |
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Shekhar ji , how’s your health ? Comment from : @debateman330 |
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These economists are giving their projections but how to know exact growth in any quarter? Comment from : @jimmmyyyyy |
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Services led growth can bring only so much growth India needs “Export manufacturing ,export manufacturing , export manufacturing “ Comment from : @meetadi4u |
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Indian growth seems pretty stable for these tough times I feel private investment should be looked at from a demand side requirement Private investment will only increase if the current capacity is unable to process demand What I read in different articles is that 30 percent manufacturing capacity is still lying idle If there is no demand , there is no capacity investment either Finding new markets for existing goods to increase the demand might help Thank you Comment from : @vivekanandholla6730 |
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The private investment chart is great Goes to show a few things clearlybr1 Reckless lending by UPAbr2 Effectiveness of the bank reforms and tighter balance sheets of our banks post 2013 Even before modi, sensible banks knew they had to course correctbr3 Decline due to covidbr4 Public investment is not as much as gadakari would like us to beleivebr5 Finally, data is not being fudged 😊, at least not in a widespread manner Comment from : @AP-do6sv |
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Well researched, analyzed presentation cutting across key categories of economies! Poring over the IMF report would have cost me a lot more time and very likely, given me less clarity So, Shekhar, thank you , as always! Comment from : @sesh7357 |
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India is expected to grow fastest in the world although the percentage growth has been lowered Comment from : @gootala1 |
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More SG does episodes on domestic politics --and thereby displays his blatant bias,more I am convinced not to part with my money and give it to Print Better off doing episodes on international affairs only Comment from : @bhaskardatta2001 |
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IMF prediction is 59 India vs 52 China growth but the latter is six times larger in size Rate of development is also another story So how long will India catch up with current China status if everything remains uchanged hypothetically Comment from : @FactsChecker |
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"Not able to break the 6"brWe are growing at the fast rate in the world, much faster than any major economy The entire world economy is in doldrums, what will fuel India's growth? Last couple fo years, world economic growth is very low, and being the fastest growing economy is what you expect at best If everybody was growing at 4-5 and India was at 6, criticism is understandable (not valid, but still) But we are almost 3 time the average world growth and that or other economies Criticism of rate at this time does not make any sense Comment from : @genesis9chaos |
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SGJi - Instead of investments as a percentage of GDP is it possible to plot on absolute numbers Still is it declining ? Comment from : @rajenmds |
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UPA was more liberal even it comes to economy that’s why private investment flourished in India Comment from : @michaeljoby5244 |
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You along with most opposition parties become quite cheerful whenever any negative news about India is given by any foreign entity You and your ilks have taken Modi hatred to new levels Comment from : @anuprungta8181 |
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Raghuram Rajan should not have used "Hindu Rate of Growth" rather "Pakoda Rate of Growth" Comment from : @TheArb6 |
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This reminds me of Poll projection Comment from : @bhargavadk |
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Revised estimates have said actually that investment to GDP ratio is 34,so how can u say investment is down?? Comment from : @mridulagrawal6687 |
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Excellent a true fact based knowledge Comment from : @arkabanerjee1627 |
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6-7 growth is not enough for India India is has more and more people every year and in order to make sure working age people have job, India needs at least 9-10 growth Comment from : @crishhari5903 |
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Breaking News!!! Tarek Fatah killed in Canada by ISI? Comment from : @HistorySheeterNabi-Dacoit |
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Growth rate is always dependant on global growth when that is stagnant it has a negative impact on GDP growth rate, the reverse can be seen in the first upa term , Comment from : @dheerajreddy981 |
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RBI upped their projections because they Paused the interest rate hikes and they are also seeing huge demand for loans so they updated IMF and world bank projections is bit outdated i believe Comment from : @rajatsingh8650 |
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A grown up person is more likely to get killed by a youngster with gun more in US than in Afghanistan but as usual the leftist n liberals eco system think that US is the utopia of the world and it’s heavenly country to stay n work compared to India n other countries This brown sepoys will nv change due to hatred running in their blood towards Modi Comment from : @roobanloganathan6498 |
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😂😂 here comes great economic illiterate analysis 😂😂 Comment from : @SriRam-bv3gs |
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Private investment has "fallen" significantly but no one has the courage to say why Ab mein boodha Roshni deta fill in the blanks same reason Comment from : @ranjitvirdi3600 |
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RBI is quite right because none of the surveyor has more control more than those surveyor and I think RBI is not in a mood to cut down Interest rates which might boost both Inflation and Growth, I think the current fiscal policy shows what RBI is going to do what the world bank and IMF might be ignoring Comment from : @prembagui7104 |
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Why not US Intel leak??? Comment from : @amitchauhan2017 |
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Shekhar Gupta has limited understanding when it come to economics I distinctly remember how he was singing praise for Bangladesh and how it has overtaken India growth He conveniently forgot to mention it now since data doesn’t support it Now he is happy with 59 growth India needs to grow at 8 plus otherwise it will be always be a middle income country Remember 5 of China’s growth is almost like 25 or 2 of US growth is like 16 as these economies are 5 and 8 times India’s economy So in absolute dollar terms they are still growing much faster than India Comment from : @subodhjain6440 |
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Gupta Ji Private investment started declining due to correction in the way banks were lending in UPA era to private entities As you say Phone banking Phone banking era is more or less must have gone Still that tightened lending is on Comment from : @NitinSharma-lz2gc |
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Why do you like to give contrary to BJP commentsbrNow can you run india economybrNow keep your comment on backyard views Comment from : @sathiyamurthit748 |
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Superb overall analysis for the year SG Economists must watch this issue On covid policy we should credit Modi’s team and at the same time a big kick to Rahul, Rajan and Amar Sen Comment from : @tejazztuber9852 |
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This takla asshole is the stooge of Soros and company Pathetic rascal ganja Comment from : @vancedlist5321 |
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The private investments were extraordinarily high due to phone banking, which Mr SG also knows but that's his native narrative Comment from : @rajeshbhupathiraju6486 |
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Recently you had a session gleefully about Rajan and his comments about Hindu rate of growth You should have mentioned it again to put Rajan and his comments in its proper place - dustbin Comment from : @aroonavaghosh6032 |
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The odds of a economist getting the growth figure right is as high as one has of getting the first prize in fantasy cricket However a sure sign of the Indian economy being not robust but super robust is the rush at hill stations in North India even though peak summer is still some weeks away It is not only the rich driving in in Audis and other expensive cars but also many on buses and even motorcycles Comment from : @SkSingh-tu8un |
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India is still not an attractive place to invest It is much better than it was pre 2014 but not good enough The big change is that India now welcomes foreign investment however its still not as good as say Vietnam or Mexico to set up a factory Labour laws are crazy, electricity is artificially higher for industries Land availability and regulation is low Silly regulations Did you know Apple could only open a store this year because prior to that you could only establish a store if 30 of components was sourced locally India’s problem is it assumes just because it was the largest economy once upon a time and has a large market people will line up to invest Modi has made changes but believes too much in his ability to sell India to the world But this is not 1800s anymore Now theres lots of competition and India is too slow moving and has a democracy full of groups that veto changes to make it an attractive investment destination FAST ENOUGH Comment from : @rohanindra6401 |
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Very insightful package! Well done Shekharji and The Print team 🙏brNot printing money and handing out reckless doles during Covid time has proved to be prudent - a lesson well learnt, with it and otherwise as well!brOn the private investment, impact of, scrutiny of bad loans, GST implementation and de-monitisation are not adequately covered The effect of these measures on the parallel/cash economy remains a mystery Is private investment finding it's way into the parallel economy to avoid compliance and tax requirements or is it flying out of India? Comment from : @ininjad24 |
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The benefit of Ukraine war are wearing off in for AmericabrI don't think so Comment from : @chitgupt1060 |
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Guptaji,brJust a mischievous thought !brTry making a show with your hands in your trouser pocket and your head looking in to camera ! Comment from : @appajirao |
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It’s the Hindu growth rate Comment from : @MegaLeoben |
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When IMF representative mentioned India as a bright spot, SG has done this CTC to condemn it All politics that to elections in Karnataka around the corner Comment from : @rajanigali123 |
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it is interesting to note that many economists (Raghuram Rajan) and the left had suggested that India should have printed more money and put more cash into the hands of the people and companies as the US did Comment from : @vishal0815 |
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Projection are just Projections There is good chance of failing or exceeding these projections brbrWhat India needs right now is a Decent Head Counts of India Is the Population less than 1400 millions or more How much is the right number? Some use 1420 millions as the RIGHT Number Is this close to the Real Number?brbrYearly Population growth seems to be about 20 millions a year For those interested in getting the Most Relevant Data namely, Per Capita GDP, Income or Consumption we need this Head Count RightbrbrWe need to wait for the next Census to know this most important number, after the growth rate of the economy Comment from : @mohamedhabib8460 |
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Main problems is heavy taxation Petrol, cooking gas, gst is much higher and it reduce dispersible income of ordinary citizens Every day price of the commodity is going up Few business house are growing others are not But nothing would happened government because of heavy tax collection and fines best example is rs 1000/- Adar and pan linking Because of income tax and ed capital is moving out from india Economic collapse is imminent Also data from the government is doctored and not transparent Comment from : @os-vp1hv |
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As long as regional parties such as DMK who made their relatives become Asia's richest under UPA 2 when they had central ministry seats exists all while they trying to accuse BJP of privitiszation, india is gonna be like this Comment from : @kuralovien5524 |
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👌it's superb and lively, listening to ShekarGupta a lot of informative loads of Academic info that truly Matters in our mordern times too that truly Matters and for that truly grateful to your News&Views&Updates brThank you SIR Comment from : @dandmello5283 |
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The data shared is great, as always! But going ahead, it would also help to see how accurate these IMF / World Bank / OECD estimates have been That should help us to determine whether we should look at them with a grain of salt or just as another wild estimate Comment from : @TejasJain1991 |
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Shekar Ji, forget the comments! Us Indians are so proud of ourselves but, we get agitated when we get compared with others who do better than us I support BJP but, I'm not a blind supporter Rather than calling out IMF and saying having western-biased, people need to learn to take crisiticsm We do have a massive issue with attracting FDI for the size of our economy We do have a massive issue with consumption although, improving brbrWe need to stop comparing ourselves with Pakistan or Bangladesh and look ahead to Vietnam and Indonesia Pakistan is in ditch now Comment from : @TheTopDawg97 |
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Dear SG - Whats your view on idea that high private investments in UPA era was due to reckless bank lending? Comment from : @mail2breej |
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👌👌👌👌 Comment from : @kalaichelvannadarajan5299 |
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Correction - UK and Germany economy will actually shrink by -03 and -01 respectively Comment from : @mustknowsofdataengineering2016 |
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Incorrect statement at 12:45 Agriculture is actually a significant contributor to India's GDP accounting for about 16 of the country's total GDP which is A LOT Comment from : @utkarshmehta9693 |
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