Bitcoin Logarithmic Regression: Reconciling Two Models

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Название	:	Bitcoin Logarithmic Regression: Reconciling Two Models
Продолжительность	:	18.33
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GF: Can you hurry up! We haven't got all day!brbrMe: Time is on my side
Comment from : Andrew Eddie

When is this market cycle over?
Comment from : Rovin Persad

Unfollowed some other crypto influencers Got tired of the click bait and crazy price predictions Never change, Ben 👏
Comment from : The Alias

Wouldn't BTC dominance fall by the time the total market cap reaches 7 to 10 trillion?
Comment from : Ben Burton

Ben, could you fit the peaks in the log regression? Curious to see how that would look?
Comment from : mswai

"Market cycle peak" is, to use your phrase, "rather dubious" ;) It's kind of only ever after the fact do we know a "market cycle (top)" III think, if only bc the fact everyone incl me wants to think we're going up still, I wouldn't be surprised if we went into a small "bear" cycle here soon who the fuck knows, really :/ I just know: usually selling Bitcoin ends up biting me in the ass Usually
Comment from : Taylor Jones

Could you check out Bepro ? Amazing project IMO ! 😊
Comment from : antoine2123

I think you will need to adjust your regression in a near future Your measure BTCs "value" using USD, an increasingly volatile component of the whole equation Simply look at the exploding money supply in the past 14 months or sobrbrHow about an overlay of the money supply over the model to discount the decreasing buying power of USD? An alternative would be perhaps to use something more solid as unit Maybe Gold oz?
Comment from : Vitaly Semko Androsenko

all models are wrong, but Ben's models can help you HODL
Comment from : NyquistLP

what are your thoughts on stock to flow models? They are predicting 1million btc in 2025
Comment from : sid x

Brilliant thanks
Comment from : BS SB

This is flawless content
Comment from : spiderbip

Of course LOGARITHMICALLY the PEAKS LOOK lower I don't get your angle
Comment from : N VDL

Hm maybe selling some at 70k would be smart 🤔
Comment from : Sylve

Time is on our side We always need that reminder
Comment from : Sergey Nazaro

This was just another masterpiece, wow!
Comment from : Alperen Bayraktar

Thanks Ben !! Always great to listen
Comment from : Sergey Nazaro

Like and share this is awesome stuff Love being in the crypto verse
Comment from : Sergey Nazaro

This Is The ‘Last’ Accumulation Phase Of A Lifetime
Comment from : G P

Just so you guys know I was here before 20k subs
Comment from : John Davies

Like a good neighbor TIME is on your side!
Comment from : iseeweiners

Can you please do a video on VeChain?
Comment from : Crypto Dan

“It could go up or down”
Comment from : Chase Jr

Time indeed is on our side 🤣😂 Unfortunately weak hands don’t realize this
Comment from : Gacha Maddie

I disagreebrbr100 is not 2x Its 1xbrbr100 of 100 is 100, which is 1x 100brbr200 of 100 is 200, which is a 2x of 100brbrPlease adjust your commentary accordingly thanks
Comment from : James Wilson Music

fucking genius!!!
Comment from : larrylunatic

Wow pretty impressive are all this models included in the "lifetime option" program you sell?
Comment from : anrea picc

An interesting analysis would be to look at past FV regression lines derived from older data (mentioned earlier in the video) and see how far bitcoin got above those in the preceding market cycle Might show a pattern
Comment from : Jim Heffernan

Dollar wont last that long, inflation is about to play a big rolebrMy macro valuation for BTC In 2021-2023 is75000$-78500$, ETH 2000-3000$
Comment from : bngh12ful

Hello from Russia, from subscribers of the CryptoCommons channel, thanks for your videos
Comment from : IAM 56

i think your channel subs is on an exponential gain now that's because of this quality content
Comment from : inMotionSLB

I discovered you recently, I really appreciate your effort
Comment from : Pouk 3D

loving your models/analysis so farbrHow does your models account for external factors though? such as government regulations
Comment from : Evan Park

Why is nobody talking about Cruptocurrency at this moment? It's on a bull run and a lot of people are defintely gonna miss out on that just like the last time
Comment from : CryptoBusy

Love how your vids purely rely on mathematics, statistics and data No bias, no speculations, no bs Keep it up!
Comment from : Silenci

Care to explain why exactly the fair value is increasing every day?
Comment from : gluecks

Another great video from someone who knows numbers The reason I always watch these videos to the end
Comment from : Daniel K

Great work!
Comment from : Havok

zooming out that btc regression line was big enlighting
Comment from : wd4f5g5f

Thanks for the great analysis I have some ideas to your analysis What if you plot two possible peak price to time (market cap model and btc price model)graphs on the same chart and find the time and the peak price from the intersection of two curves?
Comment from : Anand Munkh-Erdene

Dude let me cut and style your hair Its sooo bad But love you and your channel
Comment from : Lindsey

Thanks for the update professor
Comment from : StutzlesTapejob

This is some really good stuff! 👍
Comment from : HiC

when the data is in your liking you don't question it brthe only thing make price go up is more buyersbrwhat do you think this guy is doing here ?
Comment from : Skeptical Sheep

That total market cap chart Very bullish
Comment from : tim wade

I would be really interested on your take on the S2F model :)
Comment from : Rene Sebastian

Your office looks like an university professor's office
Comment from : parzax

One of your best recent videos
Comment from : valter gribaudo

If it fits I sits
Comment from : terror

Always a voice of reason in such a volatile market Thanks Ben! Your content is always much appreciated!
Comment from : Michael Corbo

What is the equation for the log curve?
Comment from : Osman Abdullayev

Love your math analysis
Comment from : Tom Bishop

Ben using big wordsbrbrAnd I’m over here like “yes, yes, I see, indeed”
Comment from : Brandon Outdoors

Ben looking Amish today
Comment from : Harry

Waaayyy more safe and responsible for big money to invest in something that rises slow and steady vs investing in rocket ship Tldr: let's try to hush down Bitcoin
Comment from : Kristian

Excellent Dr Cowen!
Comment from : Dr Joe

As always: sound; calm and collected Intel Why I keep coming back!
Comment from : selling irish

Thanks a lot! There is no Single tru Model,but a bunch of likelihoods and probabilities:)
Comment from : spinthma

Nice observation Which software did you use to fit the data to the logarithmic curve? I'd like to play with it a bit
Comment from : Osman Abdullayev

Watch this channel b4 work, after work, b4 bed, after bf Guess that's why I don't have a gf Dam, if I don't make a 10x Im gonna be so MAD!
Comment from : 慕诩张

As long as Biden is bombing Syria people will vote with their dollars in crypto
Comment from : Stan Marsh

Great analysis Respect
Comment from : Sachin Tomar

What do you guys think, correction over or not
Comment from : Anmol Nag

What's a few trillion amongst friends 😂
Comment from : Connor Benton

What’s a few trillion among friends ❤️👏🏻✨
Comment from : Blaise Girl

I love you Ben 😘💕
Comment from : Txantxoman

150k! congrats
Comment from : El Duderino

There is a massive mismatch between Bitcoin and Alt coin performance so far Many alts haven't even touched their ATH yet so I doubt very much this market only has that tiny little bump left in it for Bitcoin If this is the end of the road for this bull-run, the older alt-coins are going to die Who knows! Maybe that is what's coming I suspect we've got a long way to go before this thing stops growing
Comment from : Alex Morgan

Check out my latest content on ADA
Comment from : RenegadeCoinHead

Dude I subscribed long ago You dont have to ask me to sub every time 😎
Comment from : The Broken Tables Podcast

Ben’s correct, it’s not good to extrapolate a model beyond the range of data A great tool for observation Thanks Ben Miss stats
Comment from : Hello Bello