Bitcoin Logarithmic Regression: Cycle Peaks

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Название	:	Bitcoin Logarithmic Regression: Cycle Peaks
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Trendlines are made to be broken, I guess we would have to see how it plays out in this crazy world we live in
Comment from : Andrés Alejandro García Hurtado

Thanks for your no bs content!
Comment from : Jovan Que

Subscribing for this legendary analysis
Comment from : Kimi Matias

There is something "wrong" with this cycle, just bearing in mind the bear market ended with one single entity buying large amounts of BTC with 3 split orders on april 2nd, 2019brbrEither the lenghtening cycles theory is accurate and we are due to a massive collapse (like on april 10th, 2013 often confused with a full cycle) to take a break and go on until 2023brEither institutional money managed to pre-empt the cycle & it will end in 2021, at a lower levelbrWhat's your take ?
Comment from : Akli LE COQ

How do you compute your regression band / what tool do you use? :)
Comment from : Jérémy Cochoy

The surprising precision of your Logarithmic regression is soo pleasing What a treat And yet I sat through the whole move because, because, because I wouda, shouda, couda!
Comment from : stlrmr

Hi Ben, what charting software / website do you use?
Comment from : A M

Excellent thanks!!
Comment from : Crypto Speculator

once all the banksters figure out tron can do ethereums job a hell of alot cheaper because of bandwidth advantages-tron will skyrocket
Comment from : samuel rystrom

Is it possible that on the log-log scale (power log corridor?), the regression lines for both the highs and the lows are actually slightly logarithmic rather than linear? I've been staring at it, and thinking about the market aspects, and both lines seem to bulge up in the middle (the 2013 peak above the line between 2011 and 2017 peaks, for instance), which sort of fits with the fact that the global market is not infinite?
Comment from : Lapid Palid

Excellent channel mate Would love to see some regression band analysis of the market cap as a whole excluding Bitcoin
Comment from : S

Man this guy is the truth
Comment from : Crypto ABCs

Hey Ben, the diminishing returns will be non-linear, or the projection line would dip below fair value some day So we need to fit a reciprocal function to it Et voila - we may go higher than 78k / 550 if it was today It will make a difference in the long run Thanks Ben!
Comment from : Thomas Heyen

great content, thanks
Comment from : julian canizales

Hi Ben Which algorithm you you used to pic the non bubble data? is it RANSAC? I'm still a bit lost with python for this Any clue or small help is welcome
Comment from : Colosuss83

Steve from CCU sent me here a while ago Gosh, this mans TA is poetic Cheers Benjamin, mind blown 🤯every time
Comment from : Crypto Hyper

Yes Ben!
Comment from : EmptyParty7

Interesting analysis Did you try to do something similar measuring bitcoin value in terms of gold, to try to factor in dollar inflation?
Comment from : Dario Perricone

Interaction with the algo to grow you channel :)
Comment from : Havelock

I literally haven't EVER watched any other "crypto youtubers" (besides looking up coins ofc) - it's like the world's gone mad, everyone is Woody Woodpecker
Comment from : dstr

Wondering what your thoughts are on KSM / UMX and LYXE? - They all seem to be extremely underrated I think KSM will 20x and UMX / LYXE will most likely 1000x
Comment from : Grant You A Wish

ADA?
Comment from : Leonardo

Hey Ben You talk about how you are letting investments run at this point Could you discuss your exit strategy? Or do you just HODL and buy at the accumulation phases?
Comment from : Da_Prof

HAHA! Ben quoting himself: "Quote, unquote, 'non-bubble data'" 0:51
Comment from : Tyler Pantuso

Tron has 9 Billion United States Digital dollars in Tether via TRC 20 Token The market cap is now 39 BillionTrons true value is 3x greater than Market cap A price correction to fifteen cents is imminent!
Comment from : samuel rystrom

Which indicator gives the fair value of btc ?
Comment from : Cosmic Balance Channel

You have the best channel in this corner of YT Very impressive!
Comment from : SlickBlackCadillac

Between you and plan b I’m hoping the charts get updated to one billion rather than one million or something in between
Comment from : PlayThisNote

2:53 WOW 🤩 1M Bitcoin just in ten years from now! This is exciting!
Comment from : Anatoliy

Please share what is on your book shelf
Comment from : WT

Great content, this is a good channel not full of useless ads
Comment from : M J

Feels nice being BACK into the cryptoverse
Comment from : Iamanan

Benjamin, do you have a student premium package that is a bit cheaper? :)
Comment from : Emre Üstün

Man there are so many channels out here selling fear and greed and you by far bring a very cool collective oversight to the crypto world I only recently started investing and I've been researching daily since I jumped on board and you by far bring a level of realism and honest perspective that I find many other content creators lacking Please keep the data flowing and you have gained yet another grateful patron and subscriber to your well thought out and highly informative analyses Thanks man!
Comment from : still trill

Thanks for your commentary Benjamin, it's good to keep a level head from time to time
Comment from : Mustafa Emre Demiray

There is no other one like you Ben I am equipped with sufficient knowledge to judge objectively
Comment from : Alen M

So to be safe don't sell bitcoin below 60k, because you may never buy bitcoin as cheap again if it takes till 2023 to reach the accumulation band The final goal is to sell only to buy more bitcoin at cheap prices, never more fiat money!
Comment from : Richard Goma

Benjamin, you are by far, the best analyst around YouTube
Comment from : Alejandro Morales

I never leave Ben It’s kind of exhausting I have only been in the market for 45 days :) You have to be tired
Comment from : 2 Bees Farmstead

You need to readjust your overvaluation line, don’t forget you have reserve banks and large corporations coming into the space Don’t look at figures based in the past, you need re evaluate your extensions Raise your overvaluation!
Comment from : Aiden Buchanan

Amazing work! brIs there any chance you can do something similar for ETH?
Comment from : Ashengard

That little detail about "65x" vs "55x" is exactly why I have never been and will never be good at math
Comment from : Chaz McMahon

great video
Comment from : Lukas

A big big big and a big dump is coming for all crypto so big dump that nobody can even sell it You will see soon
Comment from : Gino K

Always the best charts and reasonable analysis👍👊👏
Comment from : Samantha Smith

Thanks! Does this account for inflation?
Comment from : Edu Costa

I'm no mathematician, but wouldn't it be feasible to plot the overvaluation on the fair value price regression graph? It would be a curve gradually moving closer to the fair value Would be interesting!
Comment from : Philip LaCombe

Ben please do a stream for $1 Ada!!!
Comment from : John Smith

Thanks for updates 👏
Comment from : Zafer Bozkan

🤜👑🤛
Comment from : 🛠ITC

How did you get the fair value of BTC?
Comment from : SCD

The excellence of truth
Comment from : Daniel Abdelnour

If btc reach peak by the end 2021, the 4 years cycle theory is right, but ur theory about diminishing return is right too
Comment from : KijanGaming

Great Vid Ty for the insights!
Comment from : Nathaniel Hesse

1:47
Comment from : Emil Vincent

You're awesome!
Comment from : Emil Vincent

Appreciate the logical flow of your presentations mate, very informative and educational
Comment from : Amrit Prasad

taking log of price as ylabel for sure will lead to small peak error, won't it?
Comment from : Haitao XING

AVAX going nuts!
Comment from : Tan Nicolás

isn't the "fair value" should be the stock to flow value? which is currently at around 32k? and a 550 of that would be around 210k?
Comment from : Andy Liu

I appreciate you being honest and upfront about the data of the upper band Only three points isn’t that strong to measure but it’s better than nothing
Comment from : Everardo Olide